Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003427 0.003825 0.004240 0.004704 0.005208 0.005737 0.006334
2024-10-13 0.002892 0.003466 0.004097 0.004840 0.005686 0.006616 0.007712
2024-10-20 0.002426 0.003070 0.003807 0.004708 0.005770 0.006975 0.008438
2024-10-27 0.002126 0.002819 0.003640 0.004673 0.005928 0.007388 0.009204
2024-11-03 0.001865 0.002581 0.003457 0.004592 0.006005 0.007687 0.009822
2024-11-10 0.001677 0.002414 0.003343 0.004575 0.006144 0.008050 0.010512
2024-11-17 0.001506 0.002253 0.003218 0.004530 0.006236 0.008346 0.011116
2024-11-24 0.001413 0.002184 0.003206 0.004623 0.006498 0.008853 0.011987
2024-12-01 0.001259 0.002019 0.003053 0.004518 0.006494 0.009015 0.012421
2024-12-08 0.001156 0.001917 0.002976 0.004507 0.006606 0.009325 0.013042
2024-12-15 0.001121 0.001910 0.003030 0.004675 0.006960 0.009954 0.014086
2024-12-22 0.001057 0.001856 0.003011 0.004737 0.007170 0.010393 0.014889
2024-12-29 0.001015 0.001833 0.003040 0.004872 0.007490 0.010996 0.015935
2025-01-05 0.000976 0.001812 0.003071 0.005011 0.007819 0.011620 0.017022
2025-01-12 0.000869 0.001676 0.002920 0.004875 0.007752 0.011700 0.017376
2025-01-19 0.000798 0.001590 0.002840 0.004840 0.007824 0.011968 0.017987
2025-01-26 0.000722 0.001491 0.002733 0.004756 0.007821 0.012129 0.018448
2025-02-02 0.000668 0.001424 0.002672 0.004739 0.007912 0.012421 0.019094
2025-02-09 0.000612 0.001350 0.002595 0.004693 0.007957 0.012645 0.019645
2025-02-16 0.000588 0.001332 0.002609 0.004788 0.008216 0.013178 0.020642
2025-02-23 0.000529 0.001243 0.002499 0.004680 0.008159 0.013253 0.020985
2025-03-02 0.000492 0.001192 0.002450 0.004668 0.008249 0.013541 0.021636
2025-03-09 0.000487 0.001205 0.002512 0.004841 0.008630 0.014264 0.022923